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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2025-06-24T16:09:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2025-06-24T16:09Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/39720/-1
CME Note: Faint CME first seen in the SE by STEREO A COR2 beginning at 2025-06-24T16:09Z, as well as by SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1 in later frames. The source of this event is a minor eruption from the vicinity of Active Region 14117 (S15W05) exhibiting a Southeastern deflection as seen in SDO AIA 94, 171 and 193. This deflection is likely due to a large negative polarity coronal hole situated just Northwest of this eruption, causing a Southeastern deflection away from central meridian.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-06-27T08:25Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-06-27T02:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.
Lead Time: 58.33 hour(s)
Difference: 6.42 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-06-24T22:05Z
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